The economy is under the influence of Trump. What awaits traders?

28.03.2024

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On the eve of the US elections, financial markets traditionally experience a rush. Former President Donald Trump, being not only a politician, but also a businessman, takes an active position in the election race. He is leading despite various political controversies.

In January 2024, the meme coin TRUMP, likely launched specifically for the elections, saw a 10,000% increase since its launch. Shares of Trump-linked companies are also posting significant gains. This is especially noticeable after the decision of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis to withdraw from the presidential race. For example, DWAC shares are up 200% year to date.

The previous years of the Trump administration were favorable for American stock markets. Over two years, indices have grown by more than 30%. Even without significant risks, ordinary citizens could invest in the stock markets and earn income.

Current trends and technical analysis indicate that markets are preparing for a new president. Stephen Suttmyer of Bank of America predicts a continuation of the bull market. In April, the S&P 500 will enter its 11th year of a long run that began in 2013. Historical bull market cycles have lasted between 16 and 20 years, suggesting the current market could last into the late 2020s.

All these factors indicate a likely continuation of growth in US stocks. Donald Trump plays a key role in this process, whose activity and charisma make a significant contribution to economic trends. Traders should be careful and not miss the opportunities provided by the current economic situation. At ONEBID you can sell or buy shares of leading American companies, taking advantage of the market situation.

Market reviews

Gold’s meteoric rise amid Israel-Hamas war

The price of gold has recently seen a significant recovery, climbing over 1.0% to trade in the $2,660s per troy ounce. This resurgence is largely attributed to heightened geopolitical tensions following the Israeli army’s ground invasion of Lebanon, which has increased the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Several factors have contributed to the recent movements in gold prices.

Key Oil market moves to invest

Saudi Arabia is poised to shift its oil production strategy, moving away from its unofficial target of $100 per barrel. This change comes as the kingdom prepares to incrementally increase its monthly oil output, aiming to add a total of 1 million barrels per day by December 2025. This policy shift acknowledges the current weakness in oil prices and aims to stabilize the market while ensuring the kingdom’s economic stability through alternative funding sources.

Time to Invest in Chinese Tech Giants

The recent decision by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) to cut interest rates has had a significant impact on the financial markets. This move, aimed at revitalizing the world's second-largest economy, has led to notable gains in Chinese shares and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Gas. Winter is coming!

Natural gas prices have been experiencing significant fluctuations due to various global factors. A decline in energy consumption in the US and Europe has put downward pressure on prices, while geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have disrupted global trade and energy supplies. Additionally, Europe is grappling with the aftermath of an energy crisis triggered by the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Bitcoin Uncertainty

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a decline in early trading on Friday, September 6, following a more than 3% drop the previous day. Market participants had anticipated a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate, which could potentially boost the legacy cryptocurrency. However, Bitcoin has fallen around 24% since its record high on March 14, due to a lack of new narratives to drive bullish sentiment.

Oil Market Shake-Up: Buy or Sell?

Oil prices have been trending lower recently, influenced by expectations of an increase in OPEC+ production from October. Also, signs of weak demand in major economies such as China and the United States have raised concerns about future consumption growth.

Gold and Silver are rising again

The gold market is currently experiencing positive momentum, with prices trading in favorable territory on the daily chart. Despite being constrained by a five-month-old ascending channel’s upper boundary and the all-time high, the overall outlook remains bullish due to recent events.

YEN’s Growth Ambitions

The USDJPY currency pair experienced a significant decline following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish remarks last Friday. This downward trend continued into the morning of August 26, exacerbated by escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Hezbollah over the weekend. Analysts from Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong, have noted these developments.