Investing in Crypto: Key Catalysts

26.08.2024

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How Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Approvals and Political Endorsements are Shaping Investment Opportunities. The cryptocurrency market has experienced a significant boost this year, primarily due to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s approval of an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the spot prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH). This development has sparked renewed interest and optimism among investors.

Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, saw an astronomical rise of 1,760% in value over the five years leading up to its all-time high in March 2024. However, since reaching this peak, Bitcoin’s price has declined by approximately 13%. For the past six months, Bitcoin has been trading sideways, with investors eagerly awaiting a significant price movement.

On August 23, two major events positively impacted the sluggish crypto prices. First, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced the commencement of a monetary easing cycle starting next month. This news alone pushed Bitcoin’s price up by about 3%. Later that day, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a known crypto advocate, endorsed Donald Trump in the presidential campaign, further boosting Bitcoin’s price to $63,800, marking a 5.6% increase over 24 hours. The broader CoinDesk 20 Index also saw a 4.7% rise, with other cryptocurrencies like Ether, Tezos (XTX), and Solana (SOL) posting gains of 5% or more.

The endorsement of Trump by Kennedy, despite his exit from the presidential race, has significant political implications. The race remains highly competitive, but conventional wisdom suggests that Kennedy’s removal from the ballot in key battleground states will likely benefit the GOP candidate. Both Trump and Kennedy have expressed a more favorable stance towards Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies compared to the Biden administration. Trump has even proposed the creation of a Bitcoin strategic reserve and the immediate dismissal of SEC chief Gary Gensler. In response, the Harris campaign has indicated a supportive stance towards the growth of the crypto industry.

The recent approval of a crypto ETF by the SEC and the political endorsements favoring cryptocurrencies have provided a much-needed boost to the crypto market. While Bitcoin’s price has been relatively stable in recent months, these developments could pave the way for significant future movements. The political landscape, with its potential for more crypto-friendly policies, adds another layer of optimism for investors. As the market continues to evolve, these factors will likely play a crucial role in shaping the future of cryptocurrencies.

Market reviews

Bitcoin Uncertainty

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a decline in early trading on Friday, September 6, following a more than 3% drop the previous day. Market participants had anticipated a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate, which could potentially boost the legacy cryptocurrency. However, Bitcoin has fallen around 24% since its record high on March 14, due to a lack of new narratives to drive bullish sentiment.

Oil Market Shake-Up: Buy or Sell?

Oil prices have been trending lower recently, influenced by expectations of an increase in OPEC+ production from October. Also, signs of weak demand in major economies such as China and the United States have raised concerns about future consumption growth.

Gold and Silver are rising again

The gold market is currently experiencing positive momentum, with prices trading in favorable territory on the daily chart. Despite being constrained by a five-month-old ascending channel’s upper boundary and the all-time high, the overall outlook remains bullish due to recent events.

YEN’s Growth Ambitions

The USDJPY currency pair experienced a significant decline following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish remarks last Friday. This downward trend continued into the morning of August 26, exacerbated by escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Hezbollah over the weekend. Analysts from Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong, have noted these developments.

Investing in Crypto: Key Catalysts

How Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Approvals and Political Endorsements are Shaping Investment Opportunities. The cryptocurrency market has experienced a significant boost this year, primarily due to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s approval of an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the spot prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH). This development has sparked renewed interest and optimism among investors.

The Olympics in Paris gave a boost to the Euro

The euro-area economy experienced an unexpected surge in growth, largely attributed to the Paris Olympics. This event significantly boosted private-sector activity, marking the fastest growth pace in three months. Despite this positive development, underlying economic challenges persist, particularly in the manufacturing sector.

Investing Ahead of Fed Cuts

Wall Street is abuzz with speculation that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will announce upcoming interest-rate cuts at the central bank’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. This anticipation has significant implications for money managers who have recently invested heavily in Big Tech stocks, trying to keep up with the rising S&P 500 Index. Markets are fully expecting the Fed to begin reducing borrowing costs at its September meeting.

Entry Point – Aluminum

Trafigura says aluminum’s rally has reached its limit as supplies recover. Trafigura analyst Henry Wang notes increased supply and weak demand. He also notes declining manufacturing demand outside of China. “We’re seeing a very bleak demand picture right now,” Wang stressed at the CRU World Aluminum Conference in London. He noted that the price increase…