At the beginning of this year, the US economy has been strengthening. This is confirmed by the growth of the dollar and shares on the stock market. But the Fed is concerned about rapid growth, which could accelerate inflation. The high price of loans reduces consumer demand, but rates remain at their maximum.
The effect of high rates usually does not appear immediately. And it is quite possible that today’s labor market data will show an early sign of cooling in economic indicators and, as a result, will confirm the Fed’s readiness to lower rates this summer.
This could weaken the dollar and give traders an opportunity to capitalize on a long-term trend supported by central bank policy.